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Showing results for: "dollar index"

US Dollar Index Consolidates Ahead of US NFP Report

On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose …

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Aussie Dollar Gains Ahead Of RBA Rate Decision

The disappointed PMI reading indicates a lack of optimism in the manufacturing sector Investors await the RBA’s interest rate decision, expecting a 25 bps rate hike. Despite Australia’s CPI dropping to 5.6%, it remains distant from the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings in both the United States and …

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Resilient US Dollar And Robust Banks: Key Market Highlights

Solid US economic data continue to boost demand on US Dollar. The US Dollar has gained strength as economic data surpassed expectations. Meanwhile, the robust banking sector sparked bullish momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test results showcased the resilience of major banks, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, …

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Dollar Gains As Federal Reserve Unleashes Hawkish Tone

Fed’s hawkish tone continues to spark rate hike expectations, US Dollar extend its bullish momentum. The global financial landscape is being marked by shifting monetary policies and concerns over inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone has injected confidence in the US dollar, as market expectations for a rate hike …

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Dollar Stands Pat Ahead Of Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to give his twice-yearly testimony before congress today The market is exhibiting cautious sentiment as it edged lower in anticipation of Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivering his semi-annual monetary policy report before the House today (21st June). Investors closely scrutinise this two-day testimony to gain insights …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Dollar Drops On Cooling U.S. Job Market

High jobless claims have weighed on the dollar and thrown a wrench into the market outlook on the Fed’s hiking schedule U.S. initial jobless claims recorded the highest level since October 2021, confusing the market which previously speculated the Fed might follow the footstep of RBA and BoC to raise rates next …

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Dollar Hammered By Weak PMI Data

The dollar’s value experienced a decline, falling below $104 following the release of disappointing U.S. service PMI data. The reading dropped from 51.9 to 50.3, prompting the market to reconsider the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing its interest rate hike in June. Investors are currently awaiting the announcement from the Reserve …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Dollar Soars On Optimistic Debt Ceiling Deal

Markets Risk-on After Positive U.S. debt Ceiling Deal Boosted The Dollar The US Dollar continued its impressive rally, buoyed by the optimistic prospects of a tentative debt ceiling deal between President Joe Biden and top Republican Kevin McCarthy. The deal aims to avert a potentially catastrophic default, boosting investor sentiment. Concurrently, the …

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Dollar Surges On Robust Economic Data, Fueling Investor Confidence

The US Dollar was buoyed by robust US economic data and positive market sentiment. US GDP exceeded expectations, posting a strong growth rate of 1.30% compared to the projected 1.10%. Encouraging job market data also contributed to the dollar’s strength, with Initial Jobless Claims coming in lower than anticipated at 229K. The …

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Dollar Rises On Debt Ceiling Optimism And Hawkish Fed Tone

The dollar has its highest since March as Fed meeting participants lean hawkish even as punters expect a hike pause in June.  Important this week: the Fed meeting minutes released on Wednesday and more updates on the U.S. debt ceiling talks.  The minutes for the Fed’s May 2-3 meeting was released yesterday, …

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Dollar Surges On Positive Data And US Debt Ceiling Deal

Optimism In The Markets Has Seen The US Dollar Index And Equities Rising In Tandem The Dollar Index surged, buoyed by upbeat economic data, and the optimism surrounding a potential deal to raise the US debt ceiling. Prominent Republican Kevin McCarthy expressed confidence in passing a bill to increase the debt ceiling, …

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Dollar Boosted By Fed’s Hawkish Comments

A bounce in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on oil and gold prices Equity markets were stagnant while the dollar has strengthened, driven by hawkish comments from various Fed officials stressing high inflation in the U.S. On the other hand, President Joe Biden and the country’s congressional leaders are going …

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Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed’s Monetary Policy Decision

With a 25-point hike already priced in for the dollar, investors have turned to the ECB’s hawkish outlook to price the euro The US Dollar slipped to a one-week low as investors pondered the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy ahead of next week’s meeting, where a rate hike is expected. Uncertainty lingers, with …

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Dollar Holds on to Gains After Hike Expectations Bounce

USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the …

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Dollar Struggles as Investors Remain Sceptical of Fed’s Hawkish Tone

The US Dollar continues to struggle as uncertainty over US monetary policy lingers in the global financial market. Despite hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard regarding the need for rate hikes to combat inflation, market participants remain sceptical as the recent inflation data from the US region …

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US Dollar Dips as Inflation Falls Short. 

US Treasury yields and the Greenback dipped as investors recalibrated their expectations for rate hikes following the release of March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in below the market consensus. This unexpected dip in inflation triggered a surge in the prices of non-yielding assets such as gold and crude oil, as …

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Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains a dovish stance, Dollar dips on pessimistic economic outlook

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan left its ultra-easing policy unchanged, sparking heavy speculation that it could be prompting the monetary policy divergence between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve while defying market expectations it would phase out its massive stimulus program.   In the face of uncertainties worldwide, the …

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Positive Manufacturing PMI Buoys Dollar

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers‘ Index (PMI) figure for May was released. May showed a reading of 56.1, higher than the forecasted 54.5 and the previous month’s value of 55.4. The ISM Manufacturing PMI measures product demand from over 300 key manufacturers in the US and is …

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Differences Between Indices Trading and Forex Trading

What Are Indices Trading And Forex Trading Indices trading and forex trading are both types of financial trading, but they involve different assets and markets. Forex trading, on the other hand, involves buying and selling currencies which involves forex traders speculating on the future movement of one currency against another.  Indices trading, …

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How To Invest In And Trade Gold

Gold has been used as a store of value for thousands of years. Even today, it remains a highly liquid asset, with hundreds of billions worth traded every day. Content: What Is Gold?What Affects The Price Of Gold? Why Invest In And Trade Gold?How To Start Trading Gold?How To Read And Analyse …

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Fed June Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance

FOMC meeting minutes spark demand on the US Dollar Last night’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes revealed a divergence of opinions among Fed officials, with the majority committed to further rate hikes in their ongoing battle against persistent inflation. The Fed is expected to continue its rate hike cycle this month, …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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U.S. PCE Shows Inflation Moderating

Cooling inflation has given hopes to the equity markets and weighed on the dollar The US Dollar has strengthened significantly as economic data exceeded expectations, bolstering confidence in the currency. Furthermore, the robust performance of the banking sector has ignited positive momentum in the US equity market. The Federal Reserve’s stress test …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Stock Markets Slide As Russian Instability Continues

The geopolitical uncertainty saw gold rise slightly, while lending support to a crude oil market plagued by demand concerns Stock markets were rattled as the events over the weekend in Russia heightened geopolitical uncertainty. In a late-night televised speech, the Russian president condemned the leaders of the Wagner mercenaries as traitors, further …

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Russia Mutiny Spurs Risk-Off Sentiment

The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. The rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has held power for 23 years, is facing a significant challenge as the Wagner mercenary group advances towards Moscow. This development has caused concerns …

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BoE Surprises With 50 Bps Rate Hike

Hike expectations have also increased across other central banks as the focus shifts back to inflation Markets have increased the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, a sentiment also applied to other major central banks worldwide, including those of the U.K, Switzerland, and Norway. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Positive Talks Between Blinken And Xi Spur Hope For Equities

Additionally, China has announced its first reduction in the benchmark lending rate in 10 months, a move that could provide support for oil prices. Last night, the U.S. Secretary of State met with the Chinese President and expressed satisfaction with the accomplishments of their trip. This positive development in bilateral relations has …

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Blinken Potentially Meeting President Xi

Improved relationships between the US and China could potentially lead to the equities markets surging Equities in the U.S. contracted last Friday after a bullish run in the past week with Nasdaq up by more than 3%. Notably, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s visit to China, including meetings with top diplomats …

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Hawkish Tone From The Fed After Rate Pause

While the Fed has paused rates at their June FOMC meeting, their hawkish tone has caused the dollar to rise The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%, in line with market expectations, as U.S. inflation showed signs of moderating. Despite a rate pause, the dollar quickly erased its losses …

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Higher Chance For Rate Pause With Softer CPI

Inflation came in lower-than-expected and versus the previous month, signalling a June pause on the Fed’s hiking cycle. The equity markets experienced gains, accompanied by a weakening of the dollar, following the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) yesterday. The U.S. CPI decreased to 4% from the previous month’s 4.9%, …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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Market Sideways Ahead Of U.S. CPI 

Dollar movement remains muted as investors await inflation data as well as the upcoming FOMC meeting The upcoming week is expected to be quite busy for investors, as significant events are anticipated to have a profound impact on the market. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday, setting …

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Is The Fed Going To Raise Interest Rates In June?

Despite the prevailing risk of an economic downturn in Australia, the RBA surprised the market by adding another 25 bps to its interest rate, vowing to bring the inflation rate down to 2%. The Canadian central bank followed the footstep of RBA and added 25 bps to its interest rate, causing the …

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Asian Equities Rise On China Stimulus Package

Additionally, a planned visit by the US Secretary of State has boosted indices like the HSI The Chinese government introduced an economic stimulus package, including lowering their deposit rate as soon as mid-June. Meanwhile, the U.S. Secretary of State has planned to visit China, which may improve the bilateral relationship between the …

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US Federal Reserve Signals June Hike Skip

Focus has shifted from the US debt ceiling back to macro data and the Fed’s benchmark interest rate The dollar experienced its largest daily decline in almost a month as U.S. manufacturing data and statements from Federal Reserve officials reinforced expectations of a potential interest rate hike delay. Meanwhile, the euro rebounded …

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Differences Between Indices Trading and Forex Trading

What Are Indices Trading And Forex Trading Indices trading and forex trading are both types of financial trading, but they involve different assets and markets. Forex trading, on the other hand, involves buying and selling currencies which involves forex traders speculating on the future movement of one currency against another.  Indices trading, …

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Is The Fed Skipping The June Rate Hike?

Over 70% of punters are now betting on a hike pause at the upcoming FOMC meeting The focus of attention is currently directed towards the U.S. Senate, where the passage of the debt limit is being closely observed. Concurrently, senators are engaged in debates concerning 11 amendments to the bill. The value …

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Debt-Limit Bill Clears 1st Hurdle

Uncertainty Remains In The Markets As Both Political Parties In The U.S. Continue With Their Discourse Around The Debt Ceiling Issue The bill regarding the U.S. debt limit has successfully cleared its first obstacle at the House Rules Committee, but it now faces another challenge in Congress. Ahead of the bill’s debate …

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Optimism Ignites Asian Markets As Debt Ceiling Deal Sparks Risk Appetite

Market participants are now eagerly waiting for the conclusion of a debt ceiling deal in congress Global markets experienced a mixed landscape as Western holidays provided a sense of calm for dollar-related currencies. In contrast, Asian markets saw a surge in positive sentiment, driving the Nikkei index to its highest level in …

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Credit Rating Agencies Threatens to Cut U.S. Rating

Fitch has threatened to lower the US’ AAA rating as the debt ceiling issue remains at an impasse Wall Street slid as well as the Asian stock markets as the worries over the debt ceiling escalated when the time was getting closer to the X-date. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened to its highest …

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Trading Indices: Unveiling Market Potential

Understanding The Value Of Indices Trading Trading indices is known to be a valuable way for traders and investors to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to a broad range of market segments. Indices, also referred to as stock market indices or index funds, are collections of assets or instruments that represent …

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U.S. Debt Ceiling Remains At An Impasse

The Biden-McCarthy meeting on the debt-limit bill has yet to yield any deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. default, with U.S. Treasury secretary warning that the country will run out of cash in June. Market sentiment worsened as the White House has no more meetings planned; and gold prices have rebounded due …

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Biden-McCarthy Talks Productive

Both President Biden and the House Speaker claimed that yesterday’s meeting on the debt-limit bill has a productive outcome but both parties are yet to come to an agreement. Meanwhile, U.S. treasury secretary Janet Yellen, reiterated that the department will run out of cash in early June. The dollar index has strengthened …

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Debt-Limit Talks Resume

After a brief setback in debt ceiling talks, US President Joe Biden is set to resume discussions with Kevin McCarthy President Biden is scheduled to resume discussions on the debt limit with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, following his participation in the G-7 Summit. The dollar index reached its highest level …

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Optimism Showed About Debt Ceiling Between Biden and McCarthy

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy was optimistic that congressional negotiators could reach a deal to raise or suspend the debt ceiling in time. The focus on resolving the debt limit issue overshadowed macroeconomic data as the June 1 deadline approached. McCarthy’s positive outlook came after a meeting at the White House and the …

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Debt Ceiling Optimism Overshadows Macro Data

The dollar has hit a 7-week high after significant progress on the debt ceiling bill has been reached. Macroeconomic data has taken a backseat as the U.S. nears its 1 June debt ceiling deadline as outlined by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Unlike the hard data of economic releases, this is a political …

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Biden Confident On Debt Ceiling Bill

President Biden is confident in reaching a bipartisan agreement with congressional leaders to elevate the debt ceiling, effectively averting an unprecedented default situation for the United States. This development has sparked a wave of optimism, prompting the dollar to trade higher, while the safe haven commodity gold languishes amid the surge in …

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Positive Progress On U.S. Debt Ceiling Bill

Investors are rotating out of gold en masse on optimism surrounding the U.S. avoiding a default Both President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy struck an optimistic tone regarding the prospects of reaching a consensus to raise the national debt ceiling and avert a potentially catastrophic default on the debt. As a …

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All Eyes On Biden Meeting Outcome

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has once again emphasised the need to pass the debt ceiling bill before June 1, warning that failure to do so could result in the federal government running out of cash to meet its obligations. President Biden is set to hold a meeting with congressional leaders today …

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Understand How Asset Classes Correlate With Each Other

Understand The Intermarket Correlations Across Different Asset Classes And Role Of ETFs As an investor or trader, understanding how various asset classes relate to each other is critical to make informed investment decisions, build diversified portfolios, and manage risk. Asset class correlation refers to the extent to which the prices of different …

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Biden-McCarthy Meeting Postponed

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in the market following the postponement of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and the House Speaker to address the looming debt ceiling crisis. The Biden administration is under pressure to pass the debt ceiling bill by June to avoid a potential default on the …

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Soft CPI Give Fed Room To Pause Rates

A lower-than-expected inflation has lent optimism to the markets The latest U.S. inflation figures have provided the Federal Reserve with some respite on its upcoming rate hike decision. The data for April showed a slight drop in inflation to 4.9% from 5%, easing the Fed’s dilemma. As a result, the dollar weakened …

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Markets Calm Before U.S. Inflation Data

As investors await the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and monitor the development of the U.S. debt ceiling, the markets remain subdued. Most of the asset classes saw little change overnight ahead of the U.S. CPI, which is due to release later today (10th May). On the other hand, the market is …

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Markets Quietly Await U.S. CPI

The markets are quiet before the U.S. CPI released on Wednesday (10th May). U.S. equity markets moved sideways while the dollar index and gold prices have little change as the market is digesting the renewed banking sector risk as well as developments regarding the U.S. debt ceiling. On the other hand, Australia …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Understanding What Indices Are And How To Trade Them

Indices trading can provide several benefits to traders, which includes allowing diversification of trade, access to multiple major markets and cost effectiveness. Find out exactly what indices trading is and how to trade indices in this comprehensive guide.  What Are Indices Indices are key indicators in the financial markets, serving as a …

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Fed Rate At The Highest Level Since 2007

The dollar has dipped on dovish expectations and downward pressure on the economy Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced yesterday that the central bank would deliver its 10th consecutive interest-rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the Fed rate to 5.25%, its highest level since 2007. Powell also hinted that the Fed …

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All Eyes on Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Markets are widely expecting a 25-point hike at the upcoming Fed meeting The U.S. financial markets experienced much-needed stabilisation after JP Morgan’s acquisition of First Republic bank, the latest financial institution to fail. This development has lifted the U.S. equities markets, with Asian markets also opening higher after returning from the labour …

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Wall Street Rally Boosts Asian Equities

Markets now hang in balance with the future of First Republic Bank on contagion concerns Wall Street’s gained at the end of last week as investors waited for news on a bid for First Republic Bank. Japanese and Australian stocks edged higher, while U.S. futures were broadly flat in early Asian trading …

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Nasdaq Leads Wall Street Rally as US Tech Earnings Shine

The tech-heavy index is up over 2.7% on the day, with companies like Meta Platforms leading the rise Nasdaq led a Wall Street rally driven by robust earnings from US tech firms, despite concerns over US economic growth. Meta Platforms saw the biggest gains after forecasting quarterly revenue above estimates, citing AI’s …

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Euro Surges on Upward German Growth Forecast, ECB Hawkish Tone

The euro has received a boost from a combination of hawkish guidance from the ECB and positive economic data in the region The Euro stole the spotlight as it surged to a record high following Germany’s upward revision of its economic growth forecast for 2023. The move is reinforced by positive indicators, …

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First Republic Bank’s Deposit Plunge Sparks Risk-Off.

A probable bank run and a far lower-than-expected drop in deposits have prompted market participants to turn to safe havens First Republic Bank’s disappointing first-quarter results with a significant plunge in deposit levels, had raised concerns about the bank’s financial health. This triggered a risk-off sentiment, driving the CBOE Volatility Index to …

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Investors Brace for Uncertainty Ahead of Key Economic Data

The U.S. is trading flat as the markets prepare for potential uncertainty ahead of GDP and inflation figures The King Dollar is trading flat as market participants prepare for potential uncertainties. The upcoming release of GDP figures, core PCE price index, and employment cost index are critical for global investors. Meanwhile, the …

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Gold Prices Surge as Recession Looms

Dollar weakness has leant support to the precious metal, which has climbed back to the near-2000 mark U.S. equities took a hit as concerns over corporate earnings weighed heavily on investor sentiment, a sentiment that spilled over into Asian markets. The market’s risk appetite has contracted due to fears of a possible …

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Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in …

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China’s GDP Shows Solid Economic Recovery

Economic growth in the world’s second-largest economy will be bullish for oil prices China’s freshly released economic data has shown resilient growth in the country compared to the previous quarter. China’s GDP in the first quarter surged to 2.2% from the previous quarter’s 0%, a favourable sign that could potentially stimulate higher …

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Markets Cautious Ahead of Earnings Season

Equities are muted as markets await the expected volatility of the earnings season US index futures cautiously climbed during the Asian market session, signalling investors’ apprehension ahead of the upcoming earnings season. Against the backdrop of growing concerns over economic slowdown and the possibility of further rate hikes, market volatility is expected …

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Rate Hike Expectations Falter as PPI Plummets. 

The US Producer Price Index came in lower than expected The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike expectations have continued to wane amid a flurry of lacklustre economic data. The latest blow to inflationary pressures came from the Producer Price Index (PPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which displayed a significant …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Equities Market Edge Higher as Risk-On Sentiment Escalates

The market has a higher risk tolerance, with U.S. equity markets edging higher and the dollar extending its gain for the 2nd straight session. On the other hand, notwithstanding a dovish stance from the newly appointed BoJ governor, economists projected that the ultra-loose monetary policy is unsustainable with the rising inflation in …

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Markets Muted While Celebrating Easter

Last Friday, U.S. economic data gave mixed signals, leaving the markets clueless, especially on the upcoming Fed’s monetary policy. The Non-Farm Payroll decelerated to 236k but is in line with the market consensus. However, the country recorded a record low in the unemployment rate, showing that the labour market remains hot. Most …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Is a Recession Looming?

Recession fears have escalated in the markets, especially after the ADP Nonfarm payroll was released yesterday. The dollar index traded higher, and gold prices poised at a yearly high as safe-haven assets are being sought after by investors amid a recession looming with a lower-than-expected U.S. job report. On top of that, …

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Banking Crisis Fears Resurface

Evidence of a weakening U.S. economy has led investors to rotate out of the dollar Although a hawkish statement from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated for sustained rates above 5%; the market is struggling with the resurgence of banking fears. The newly released economic data, including the manufacturing PMI and JOLTs …

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Stock Markets Mixed On Concerns Over Oil Inflation Risk

OPEC+’s surprise production cut has roiled Asian the equity markets U.S. equity markets continue to be bullish, with market sentiment continuing upwards after the banking sector woes. Asian markets saw mixed performance due to inflationary worry after a surprise move from OPEC+. The oil cartel further cut production by more than 1 …

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Oil Prices Surges With OPEC+ Surprise Supply Cuts 

Oil prices surged by more than 8%, with WTI crude trading above $81 for the first time since January after an unexpected announcement from OPEC+ to cut crude supply to tighten the market. The oil allies announced cutting more than 1 million barrels of oil per day, with Saudi Arabia leading the …

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Global Markets Maintain Risk-On Sentiment in Anticipation of Key PCE Reports

China’s economic performance continues to astound global markets as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data revealed that the service sector activity in the country surged to its fastest pace in 12 years in March. Such sentiment has sparked optimism for the antipodean currencies, which are closely linked to China’s economy. The …

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Tech Shares Push Wall Street Higher

Wall Street rallied following the footstep of Asian equity markets last night, pushed by tech shares as concerns over the stability of the financial system continue to ease. An increasing risk-on attitude has also muted the gold prices and the U.S. dollar while U.S. treasuries yield stays flat. Before the RBA announces …

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China Equity Market Rallies with Alibaba Revamp

Chinese stock indices, including the Hang Seng Index, rallied as Alibaba said it would split the company into 6 units that would potentially be listed individually. This reflects a loosening attitude from the Chinese government toward the technology companies after the long crackdown from Beijing. On the other hand, the fresh Australian …

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Markets Get Relief From Banking Turmoil

The banking crisis was seemingly resolved after yesterday’s news reported that First Citizens Bancshares Inc agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank. On top of that, the U.S. authorities are considering expanding its emergency lending facilities for banks to shore up the bank’s balance sheet, which in a way supports the embattled First …

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Markets Put Less Weight On Banking Crisis

Focus has shifted back to inflation and interest rates as the banking crisis shows signs of easing Equity markets advanced and major currencies fluctuated in narrow ranges in the last session. Easing in the banking crisis and perceived lower risk of recession spurred the equity market to trade higher while modest rate …

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Equities Markets Slide as Banking Sector Concern Still Intact. 

Wall Street was hindered by the banking sector and slumped after investors digested the comment from Janet Yellen, U.S. Treasury Secretary on Wednesday’s hearing. However, Yellen attempted to alleviate market concerns during a subsequent hearing on Thursday, promising that policymakers would take further action to safeguard bank deposits if necessary. Meanwhile, Japan’s …

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Fed is not Pausing Rate Hike

Jerome Powell delivered a smaller size of rate hike of 25 bps which is in line with the market consensus; however, the market was hit by double assail with U.S. major indexes dropping by more than 1% and the dollar traded below $103. Firstly, Powell revealed that the Fed considered pausing the …

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Markets Risk-on Ahead of Fed’s Interest Rate Decision

Wall Street closed high and gold prices retraced as the fears over the banking sector crisis abated; the dollar index remains calm before the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement, which will be made later today (22nd March). However, investors are starting to discuss the banking turmoil as aftermath of central banks’ frenetic …

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Ahead of NFP, Fed Implements Lowest Rate Hike in 10 Months

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …

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FOMC Minutes Point to Less Hawks Decisions

On Wednesday, 24 November (GMT+2), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its 1-2 November meeting. Reflecting statements multiple officials have made over the last several weeks, the meeting summary concluded that a substantial majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) agreed it would probably moderate the pace of …

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Must-Know Gold Trading Tips

Gold has been known as a good hedge against inflation and hence, many investors flock towards the gold trading market. Here are some tips to know. Gold has been widely called a “safe-haven” asset as it is able to retain and increase in value despite times of market turbulence or inflation. Many …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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U.S. Shares Tumble on Hawkish Fed Signals

On Wednesday, 2 November, the US Federal Reserve implemented its fourth mega hike, raising interest rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75%, in its continuing fight against high inflation. This brings the current Fed’s benchmark rate to 3.75% – 4%, with rates expected to hit a ceiling at 4.5% – 4.75% in …

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How To Invest In And Trade Gold

Gold has been used as a store of value for thousands of years. Even today, it remains a highly liquid asset, with hundreds of billions worth traded every day. Content: What Is Gold?What Affects The Price Of Gold? Why Invest In And Trade Gold?How To Start Trading Gold?How To Read And Analyse …

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Downbeat CPI Read Sends Shares Tumbling

On Tuesday (GMT+3), the US released its year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) figure, showing that inflation came in at 8.3%, higher than the expected 8.1% but lower than the previous month’s 8.5%. The month-on-month core CPI change, meanwhile, came in at an increase of 0.6% versus an expected increase of 0.3%. While …

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ADP Nonfarm Underperforms Ahead of NFP

On Wednesday (GMT+3) 31st August, the ADP US Nonfarm Employment figures were released after a 2-month hiatus. According to the ADP, US private payrolls grew by 132,000 – down from the 268,000 in July and the forecasted 300,000 increase. The ADP took a two-month hiatus to revise its methodology and released June, …

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FOMC Minutes Reveals Fed’s Inflation Fears

On Wednesday, 17 August (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 26-27 July meeting. In it, the Fed has finally decided to take a step back to assess the effects of aggressive monetary tightening. For the past few rate hikes, which saw increases as high as 75 …

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Cooling US CPI Numbers Give Hope for Soft Landing 

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July was released, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% – lower than the expected growth of 8.7% and the previous month’s increase of 9.1%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile categories like food and energy, comes in at an increase of 0.3% …

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …

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Will the ECB Hike Rates by 25 or 50 Points?

At 15:15 (GMT+3) on Wednesday, the European Central Bank will be making its interest rate decision. The central bank is expected to hike rates, the first time it will do so in 11 years. For the past 8 years, interest rates in the EU have been negative – but rampaging inflation has …

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US CPI Sees Yield Curve Inversion

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for June were released, showing that consumer prices grew by 9.1% year-on-year, the fastest pace of inflation growth since November 1981. This is higher than the forecast of 8.8% and May’s figure of 8.6%. Meanwhile, Core CPI increased 0.7% month-on-month, higher …

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ECB To End 8 Years of Negative Interest Rates

On Wednesday morning (GMT+3), Germany released its quarter-on-quarter GDP figures. The 0.2% increase was exactly in line with forecasts, while an increase from the previous quarters -0.3%. Year-on-year growth for Q1 stands at 3.8%, up from the forecasted 3.7%. Earlier in the week on Tuesday, European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde …

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US Shares Rout on Inflation Fears

US shares plunged on Tuesday night (GMT+3) as investor fears about spiking interest rates, slowing economic growth, and rampaging inflation culminated in a rout. The S&P 500 closed the day by 2.8% lower to 4,175.20, Dow Jones slid around 800 points to 33,240.18, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plunged nearly 4% to …

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FOMC Minutes Point To $95b Balance Sheet Cuts

On Wednesday, 6 April (GMT+3), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes for its 15-16 March meeting. As expected, the meeting was focused on discussing the tightening measures that the Fed would take to rein in galloping inflation. Chiefly, the central bank has plans to shrink its almost-US$9 trillion balance …

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US ADP Nonfarm Data Points To Half-Point Rate Hike

On Wednesday afternoon March 30 (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data reported an increase in 455,000 jobs. This figure is slightyly more than the expected increase of 450,000, and down from the previous month’s value of 486,000. While higher than expected, March’s ADP Employment numbers are still the lowest seen …

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Gold Steadies as Fed Increases Interest Rate By Expected 0.25%

On Wednesday, 16 March, the US Federal Reserve made the long-awaited decision to raise interest rates to combat surging inflation. As per the market’s expectations, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points. The 0.25% rate hike was voted on almost unanimously by policymakers, except St Louis Fed president James Bullard, who voted …

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Markets Build Risk Appetite as ADP Nonfarm Exceeds Expectations

On Wednesday, 15:15 (GMT+2), data for the February US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change was released. At 475,000, the number beat out the market estimate of 378K, although it is still lower than the previous month’s 509,000. Broken down, February’s numbers indicate a significant employment drop of 96,000 in small businesses, although overall …

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Chances of 50-point Rate Hike Increases as US CPI Hits 40-year High

On Thursday (GMT+2), the US released its Consumer Price Index data (CPI) for January. Results showed that inflation, as measured by the CPI, increased by 7.5% year-on-year, beating out the forecasted 7.3% and posting the highest gain since 1982. The results also mark an increase of 0.6% from December, continuing the fourth …

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Debt Limit Bill Vote Passes The House

A Bipartisan Agreement To Suspend The Debt Ceiling Is Now Awaiting Approval From The U.S. Senate The House of Representatives has successfully passed a debt ceiling deal to prevent a potentially catastrophic event. However, the process is not yet complete as the bill now awaits approval from the Senate, where not all …

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First Republic Bank’s $100B Deposit Withdrawal Spurred Market Concerns

To improve its financial condition, the bank’s management considered selling assets worth between $50 billion to $100 billion In Q1 2023, First Republic Bank experienced a significant decrease in its revenues, net profit, and deposits. Customers withdrew over $100 billion in deposits, causing a 50% drop in FRC shares in just one …

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Overall Equities Markets Down Despite Positive Earnings Season

Markets are risk-off due to fear of contagion from First Republic Bank’s imminent collapse Earnings season is ramping up, with results have been much better than market’s expectations. Tech stocks are leading with a 0.64% increase in the Nasdaq on Wednesday. Meta shares shot up 12% after the company posted an earnings …

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Gold Surges Past 2010 as Inflation Shows Signs of Slowing

On Wednesday, 12 April, the U.S. CPI data was released, showing that March’s headline inflation in the U.S. slowed more than anticipated, with the year-on-year number showing a drop from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March; lower than the expected 5.2%. The monthly rate decreased to 0.1% from 0.4%, which was …

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Mixed Asian Shares After Surprise Rate Hike by RBNZ

Asian markets were mixed as investors digested a US labour report showing a drop in job openings to their lowest level in almost two years in February. New Zealand’s central bank increased its benchmark cash rate by 50 basis points to 5.25%, causing the New Zealand dollar to strengthen by almost 0.9%. …

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Fed Takes Risk With Rate Hike Amid Banking Crisis

Investors hoping for a pause in rate hikes were disappointed as the U.S. Federal Reserve pushed ahead with a quarter-point hike at its interest rate decision on Wednesday. While way lower than 2022’s mega-hikes of 50 to 75 bps and in line with economist expectations, March’s 25-point hike is a calculated risk …

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“Goldilocks” Markets Sees Diverging Signals After CPI Release

On Tuesday, February 14, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released, showing an increase of 0.5% in January and the highest in three months but in-line with expectations. The year-on-year increase, meanwhile, is 6.4%, up slightly from market forecasts of 6.2%. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and …

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Techniques For Trading Bonds Futures

Make More Informed Decisions While Trading Bonds Explore the various techniques for trading bond futures and optimize your investment strategy. Learn about the different types of bond futures contracts, such as U.S Treasury bond futures and Eurodollar bond futures, and how to use them to hedge against interest rate risk. Understand the …

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China’s reopening :  Is the Chinese Equity Market Warming Up?

Starting Sunday, China no longer requires quarantine for inbound travellers. No more testing requirements to board trains, planes, ferries or shuttle buses for domestic travel. While anyone wanting to enter the country will only need a 48-hour negative Covid test result. Officials estimate that the number of trips over the Chinese New …

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Scaled-Down 50bps Hike From Fed Belies Hawkish Outlook

On Wednesday, 14 December, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its last rate hike of the year – a 50-basis point increase to the Fed fund rate, well in line with the market’s expectations. This brings the Fed benchmark rate to 4.25% – 4.5%, the highest in 15 years. While a dovish step …

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What Are The Best Trading Hours In Forex Markets

Just as with most forms of investing and trading, taking note of the trading hours in the forex market is everything in Forex trading. Grasping the right hours in the day to trade, knowing the dates of important economic announcements, and just timing your trades correctly will give you an edge, and …

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Gold Remains Downbeat as Treasury Yields Hit Decade High

Recession fears are plaguing the markets more strongly than ever. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields hit a 14-year high, with the 10-year note hitting as high as 4.153% as of writing – the highest since 2008’s recession. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield rose by 13 basis points to 4.57%. More importantly, the 3-month …

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Fed Expected to Expedite Rate Hikes as US CPI Beats Expectations

On January 12 (Wednesday) afternoon (GMT+2), the United States announced its year-on-year, not seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. US CPI rose 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since 1982, according to data released by the Labor Department. CPI rose 0.5% month-on-month in December, slightly beating the market expectations of …

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How Can You Deal with a Bear Market?

Like the tides, the financial markets wax and wane. It’s all part of the natural cycles of the financial system since no bull market can last forever. A bear market is usually defined as a 20% or more drop of a major stock index. While the index most commonly used as the …

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