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28 July 2023,06:22
Weekly Outlook
28 July 2023, 06:22
下周焦点：7 月 31 日当周 (GMT+3)
7月，澳大利亚储备银行选择维持利率不变，目前利率为4.10%。 澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）暂停加息的决定让分析师和市场交易员不晓得接下来会发生什么。 然而，行长菲利普·洛(Philip Lowe)关于可能进一步收紧货币政策的言论增加了人们对即将加息的预期。
市场预计 5 月份 JOLTS 职位空缺将增至 993.5 万个，但实际数据令人失望，为 982.4 万个。 尽管职位空缺呈降温趋势，但与大流行前的水平相比，5 月份的 980 万个数字仍然相对较高。 JOLTS报告将对影响美联储下一步决策发挥至关重要的作用，建议密切关注。
上个月，该银行将基准利率上调0.5个百分点至5%，以应对通胀放缓（以消费者价格指数衡量），从5月的8.7%降至6月的7.9%。 金融市场预计基准利率将在8月份再次上调。
6 月份非农就业人数增加 20.9 万，略低于市场普遍预期的 22.5 万。 尽管在此期间就业增长有所放缓，但工资继续显示出显着的强势，表明劳动力市场仍然紧张。 美联储加息的决定可能会导致经济增长放缓，影响非农就业增长速度。 然而，未来发展仍存在不确定性。
6月份，美国失业率创历史新低3.6%，较上月下降0.1个百分点。 就业市场的强劲令经济学家感到惊讶，并让人们乐观地认为，尽管利率迅速上升，美国经济仍可能设法避免衰退。
以行业低点差和闪电般的执行速度交易外汇、指数、贵金属等。
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